Tuesday, November 07, 2006

Live blogging on US Election

First Polls Close

Things are looking good for the Democrats as two congressional Republican seats in Kenutcky show the Democrats leading. Unfortunately the Same-sex marriage ban has passed in Virginia, but that was no surprise. I think the final numbers will be a better indicator. If over 35% vote against it, I think that is at least a sign that opposition to Same-sex marriage is softening. I'll be back later

Ohio, West Virginia, and South Carolina Polls Close

Ohio elects a Democrat governor after the Republican administration was rocked by scandals. It will be interesting to see what effect this will have on other races in the state. Robert Byrd was re-elected. I might have voted Libertarian if I lived in this state or Green as Robert Byrd is a big time protectionist and his Byrd Amendment was not good for Canada. I'll be back when something major happens.



15 more states close

Olympia Snowe wins in Maine, while no surprise Ted Kennedy wins in Massachusetts. That guy Ted Kennedy has been senator for ever, has he ever had a private sector job. Olympia Snowe is moderate compared to most Republicans, still unlike BC Tory, I would not endorse her, since her support of the Iraq War is a big issue for me and I refuse to support anyone who supports it strongly.

In Virginia senate race, the Democrats have pulled ahead so looking good here, but too early to tell.

First Republican Defeat, Hotsettler defeated!! Hopefully more to come. Interestingly enough he is a Conservative Democrat, so this should be interesting. Although I don't like his viewpoints on social issues, I have argued the Democrats need to stick to the centre and not drift too far to the left.

Massachusetts goes Democrat statewide and elects only the second Black governor in US history.

Democrats hold New Jersey senate. So far so good.

Democrats gain Ohio Senate. Probably the most predictable due to the taint of the Republican brand over state issues as opposed to national. This reminds me of BC during the 90s when the unpopularity of the provincial NDP hurt the NDP federally in BC.

9:00 EST more states come in

Casey Jr defeats Rick Santorum, second pick up in the senate. Whoa!!

Hilary Clinton re-elected, big surprise, yeah right.

Joe Liebermann re-elected as senator, so we have two independent senators. In the case of Vermont, Sanders is a self-proclaimed socialists so he will definitely support the Democrats against Bush. As for Liebermann, he said he would caucus with the Democrats, but I am not happy about his support of the Iraq War. I thought though it was a mistake to push him out. However, if the Democrats get 50 seats in the senate or 49 they should ask Liebermann to rejoin and even invite Sanders to join the Democrats.

Jennifer Granhom is re-elected in Michigan. Although I don't know much about her, it is nice to see a Canadian born win as governor and also from Vancouver like myself. However, she has lived in the United States since age three, so grew up as an American.

Democrats hold Maryland, which was one of the few Democrat seats at risk. This one interestingly have a black Republican in order to help reach out to the black community who traditionally haven't gone Republican in large numbers. This means the Democrats at least hold their senate seats.

Northrup of Kentucky of the Republicans defeated, the second defeat and third pick-up

Third Democrat senate pick-up in Rhode Island, Lincoln Chaffee is defeated. While I am happy for a Democrat pick-up, if I had to choose one Republican I liked it was him since he was a moderate. He was the lone Republican supporter to vote against giving Bush the authority to attack Iraq, supports SSM, opposes privatizing social security, opposed the Bush tax cuts, pro-choice, and even spoiled his ballot in 2004.

Another Democrat pick-up in Indiana. Looking better. Maybe the Democrats will even take the Senate.

Got an update on Lincoln Chaffee's defeat was more due to party than him. According to exit polls, He had a 62% approval but his party weighed him down too much. Even his opponent spent most of his time attacking Bush rather than Chaffee.

10:00 PM EST

Orrin Hatch re-elected, too bad, but no surprise.

Bass is defeated in New Hampshire for Congress, so another pick-up for the Democrats and several other Republicans are trailing.

Two more defeats: Weldon in Pennsylvania is defeated and Padgett is defeated in Ohio. Lets keep it going.

Republicans hold the governorship in Florida, although ironically the governor skipped a rally when Bush was there. Obviously this shows how unpopular Bush is.

7th Republican defeat and in North Carolina!!

In Foley's district, the Republican has conceded defeat, so lets put it at eight now even though CNN hasn't called this one yet.

Another Democrat Pick-up in Pennsylvania, now the ninth, six more to go and this is without any results in the West yet.

The West Reports in

The tenth pickup for the Democrats in Connecticut.

Nothing yet on whether Arnold wins or not, although despite being a Liberal, I actually like Arnold Schwartznegger.

On the environment he has shown leadership unlike Bush/Harper and he is generally moderate on social issues although opposes gay marriage (but politicians will only start supporting it when the public does, lets remember most Liberals opposed SSM in the 90s, so be patient here). I am not sure how I would have voted in California, but that is perhaps the only state I might have gone Republican and just the thought of having to vote Republican is sickening, but I realize you can never blindly paint any party as bad or good.

Four more Democrat pick-ups, in Arizona, in Florida, Indiana, and New York so only one more needed for the Democrats to take Congress.


Now I know the networks won't make this projection yet, but I feel comfortable enough to say the Democrats will take Congress when considering how many close ones are still left.

While the senate is still too close to call.

DEMOCRATS WIN CONTROL OF THE HOUSE!!

This is great. I am going to sign off for this evening. I will have more on this tomorrow evening after I come home from work. If I find out the senate results before going to bed, I will post.

2 Comments:

Blogger MB said...

1) I am glad to see Hostettler go, as he was quite an idiot. I'm no fan of Santorum either.

2) Schwarzenegger is well ahead of Angelides now...but only 2% or so of polls have reported.

3) Missouri isn't as close as I thought...Jim Talent is faring better than I could have imagined.

4) Virginia is the Senate race to watch.

5) Sanders and Lieberman will caucus with the Democrats, that has already been confirmed; therefore, their seats will count as Democratic ones.

8:39 PM  
Blogger Monkey Loves to Fight said...

BC Tory, I suspect if the polls are accurate, Schwartznegger will be re-elected. As for Missouri, the problem is only half the results are in and usually the urban results (St. Louis and Kansas City) tend to come in last while rural ones come in sooner. I would have to see the county by county breakdown to make an accurate analysis. In Virginia, the Democrats have pulled into the lead, but it will likely go to a recount regardless of the results. Sanders and Liebermann caucusing with the Democrats will help certainly.

9:08 PM  

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